A-Level Maths OCR B (MEI) H640

15: Probability distributions

#15.1

Binomial distribution

Recognise situations which give rise to a binomial distribution.

#15.2

Identify p for the binomial distribution

Be able to identify the probability of success, pp, for the binomial distribution.

The binomial distribution as a model for observed data.

Notation:

  • B(n,p),q=1pB(n, p), q = 1 - p
  • means ‘has the distribution’.
#15.3

Calculate probabilities using the binomial distribution

Be able to calculate probabilities using the binomial distribution.

Including use of calculator functions.

#15.4

Mean of the binomial distribution

Understand and use mean =np= np.

Excludes: Derivation of mean =np= np

#15.5

Expected frequencies of the binomial distribution

Be able to calculate expected frequencies associated with the binomial distribution.

#15.6

Discrete random variables

Be able to use probability functions, given algebraically or in tables. Know the term discrete random variable.

Restricted to simple finite distributions.

Notation:

  • XX for the random variable.
  • xx or rr for a value of the random variable.
#15.7

Calculate probabilities for a simple distribution

Be able to calculate the numerical probabilities for a simple distribution. Understand the term discrete uniform distribution.

Restricted to simple finite distributions.

Notation:

  • P(X=x)P(X = x)
  • P(Xx)P(X \le x)

Excludes: Calculation of E(X)E(X) or Var(X)Var(X).

#15.8

Normal distribution

Be able to use the Normal distribution as a model.

Includes recognising when a Normal distribution may not be appropriate.

Understand how and why a continuity correction is used when using a Normal distribution as a model for a distribution of discrete data.

Recognise from the shape of the distribution when a binomial distribution can be approximated by a Normal distribution.

Notation:

  • XN(μ,σ2)X ∼ N(\mu, \sigma^2)

Excludes: Knowing conditions for Normal approximation to binomial.

#15.9

Shape of the Normal curve

Know the shape of the Normal curve and understand that histograms from increasingly large samples from a Normal distribution tend to the Normal curve.

Includes understanding that the area under the Normal curve represents probability.

#15.10

Linear transformation of a Normal variable

Know that linear transformation of a Normal variable gives another Normal variable and know how the mean and standard deviation are affected. Be able to standardise a Normal variable.

yi=a+bxi    yˉ=a+bxˉy_i = a+bx_i \implies \bar{y} = a+b\bar{x}, sy2=b2sx2s_y^2 = b^2s_x^2

Notation:

  • Standard Normal
  • ZN(0,1)Z∼N(0,1)
  • Z=XμσZ = \dfrac{X - \mu}{\sigma}

Excludes: Proof

#15.11

Properties of the Normal curve

Know that the line of symmetry of the Normal curve is located at the mean and the points of inflection are located one standard deviation away from the mean.

#15.12

Calculate probabilities using the Normal distribution

Be able to calculate and use probabilities from a Normal distribution.

Including use of calculator functions.

#15.13

Use probability distributions in modelling

Be able to model with probability and probability distributions, including recognising when the binomial or Normal model may not be appropriate.

Including critiquing assumptions made and the likely effect of more realistic assumptions.

14
Probability
16
Statistical hypothesis testing